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As we approach 2025, Tim Ferriss and Kevin Rose sat down to discuss their predictions and reflections on the coming year. Their wide-ranging conversation covered everything from technological advancements to personal development strategies.
AI and Technology Predictions
The Future of AI Companies
Kevin predicts that several AI companies that have raised hundreds of millions of dollars may struggle to raise capital and potentially go under in the coming year. He believes the major tech companies like Google and Microsoft will dominate most AI-related developments.
"I think several AI companies next year struggle to raise capital and go under and I'm talking some of the bigs that have raised hundreds of millions of dollars," Kevin stated. "I think the quote unquote 'bigs' like the alphabet companies are just going to run the table when it comes to most AI related things."
OpenAI's Potential Hardware Move
Kevin speculated that OpenAI may launch some type of mobile device or smart headphones in the coming year:
"One of my predictions will be that OpenAI launches some type of mobile device, maybe some type of smart headphones this coming year because they have to be at the metal level, meaning like they have to be at the device level that we all carry around."
He believes OpenAI needs to have a hardware presence to compete with AI assistants built into phones by companies like Apple and Google.
Microsoft's Potential Android Phone
Another bold prediction from Kevin was that Microsoft may release an Android-based phone:
"I think Microsoft releases an Android phone because largely because they have the suite there - they have Word, they have Excel, they have PowerPoint, they have Drive, they have all that stuff, Outlook you name it. I think it'll be Android based and they have ChatGPT so I think on the OpenAI side that will probably be integrated into the Microsoft phone."
Cryptocurrency and Financial Predictions
Bitcoin Price Prediction
Kevin made a bullish prediction on Bitcoin, stating:
"I think in the next couple of years we're going to see for the very first time the US government is going to start adding crypto to our reserves. I think we'll treat it as a currency that we hold in reserves and when that happens it's going to be nuts. I think we're going to hit - my gut says 250, $250,000 or more a coin in the next couple of years."
Investment Strategies
Both Tim and Kevin discussed their investment approaches for the coming year:
- Kevin is increasing his crypto allocation to 10% of his overall net worth, up from 4-5% previously. He's focused mainly on Bitcoin.
- For stock market exposure, Kevin recommends VTI (Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF) for broad, low-cost exposure.
- Tim is simplifying his investment approach, with the majority of his risk exposure through his venture capital work at True Ventures.
Personal Development and Wellness
Meditation Practice
Tim shared his experience with a new meditation app called The Way, created by Henry Shukman:
"Doing 10 minutes in the morning, 10 minutes either before dinner or before bed, but making it like brushing your teeth - it's a non-negotiable. It's just a non-negotiable, you just do it like you would do anything else that is non-negotiable. And doing those 10 minutes twice a day has been incredible."
He found the practice extremely effective at reducing his generalized anxiety, comparable to much more expensive and time-consuming treatments he had tried previously.
Exercise and Physical Health
Both Tim and Kevin emphasized the importance of regular exercise and movement:
- Tim is focusing on skiing and ski training for the first two months of 2025.
- He's also incorporating exercises to improve his "spinal engine" based on recommendations from functional movement experts.
- Kevin mentioned his interest in more functional, holistic movement-based training approaches.
Nutrition and Supplements
Tim discussed some nutrition products he's been using:
- Maui Nui Venison sticks, which he finds extremely nutrient-dense
- David bars for high protein-to-calorie ratio snacks while traveling
Alcohol and Substance Use
Both Tim and Kevin reflected on their relationship with alcohol and other substances:
- Tim completed a 30-day challenge abstaining from alcohol, caffeine, and masturbation, which he found very beneficial.
- Kevin is aiming to reduce his alcohol consumption, focusing on special occasions rather than regular use.
- They discussed how alcohol can negatively impact sleep, exercise performance, and overall wellbeing.
Lifestyle and Relationships
New Year's Reservations
Tim introduced the concept of "New Year's reservations" instead of resolutions:
"Instead of thinking about New Year's resolutions, think about New Year's reservations. What are you putting in your calendar? If it's not in your calendar, it's not real."
He's focused on scheduling extended periods of time with close friends throughout the year, including:
- Renting a house for skiing with friends in January/February
- Planning a week-long Alpine survivalist training trip in August
- Organizing annual reunions with old friends
Male Bonding and Friendships
Tim emphasized the importance of cultivating male friendships and creating opportunities for men to bond:
"A lot of men in my experience, it's like they don't bond necessarily - and I know I'm painting with a broad brush and there are always exceptions and so on - but it's like they don't bond in the same way that women do in the sense that a lot of guys just want to not talk and do shit together."
He sees organizing these trips and activities as a way to nourish important friendships that might otherwise atrophy over time.
Unusual Topics and Predictions
Alien Revelations
Kevin predicted that there may be some type of confirmation about the existence of aliens in the coming year or two. Tim was more skeptical but acknowledged there are some unexplained phenomena that warrant further investigation.
Nuclear Power Resurgence
Kevin expressed bullishness on the potential return of nuclear power in the United States:
"My gut tells me over the next decade there's going to be a - I'm pretty bullish on the return of nuclear to the United States just out of our sheer capacity for power that we need for data centers on the AI side."
Music Creation with AI
Kevin predicted a major breakthrough in AI-assisted music creation:
"We're going to see a very massive unlock and creativity around music creation happening in the next couple of years. So the same way that we're able to prompt and type in like 'show me a fox swimming underwater grabbing an apple' and now you can't even tell it wasn't shot... I think there's going to be a way to prompt music creation in a very fun and exciting explosion of creativity that will make an average consumer sound like they can be a real producer for the first time."
Conclusion
As Tim and Kevin look ahead to 2025, their conversation reveals a mix of excitement and caution about technological developments, balanced with a focus on personal growth, wellness, and nurturing important relationships. Their predictions and insights offer food for thought as we all consider how to approach the coming year with intention and optimism.
Article created from: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BFMCySpcroI