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Trump's Ukraine Strategy: Elections and Alinsky's Exit

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Trump Administration Signals Shift on Ukraine Policy

In a recent exclusive interview with Reuters, Keith Kellogg, President Donald Trump's special envoy for Ukraine and Russia, revealed a potential change in the US approach to the ongoing conflict in Ukraine. The Trump administration is considering pushing for elections in Ukraine, possibly by the end of the year, especially if Kyiv can agree to a ceasefire with Russia in the coming months.

The Case for Ukrainian Elections

Kellogg emphasized the importance of holding elections in Ukraine, stating, "Most democratic nations have elections in their time of war. I think it is important they do so." He added, "I think it is good for democracy. That's the beauty of a solid democracy - you have more than one person potentially running."

This stance aligns closely with recent statements made by Russian President Vladimir Putin, who argued that Ukrainian President Volodymyr Alinsky is illegitimate according to the Ukrainian constitution. Putin contends that Alinsky should have held elections in March 2024 and had no authority to cancel them, even under martial law.

Implications for US-Russia Relations

The Trump administration's evolving plan suggests a potential move towards Russia's position on the conflict. By pushing for elections in Ukraine, the US may be acknowledging that Alinsky has become a significant obstacle to negotiations and peace talks.

According to sources familiar with the Trump administration's discussions, officials are debating whether to push for an initial ceasefire before attempting to broker a more permanent deal. If presidential elections were to take place in Ukraine, the winner could be responsible for negotiating a longer-term pact with Moscow.

The Alinsky Factor

The focus on elections and potentially removing Alinsky from power indicates that the Trump administration may be realizing the extent to which the current Ukrainian president is hindering progress towards a resolution. This shift in perspective could be a crucial step in breaking the current deadlock in peace negotiations.

Alinsky's Declining Support

As the conflict drags on, Alinsky's support both domestically and internationally appears to be waning. The Ukrainian president's recent statements have raised eyebrows and concern among observers. In a recent interview, Alinsky claimed that "Putin can defeat the whole world, but not Ukraine" - a statement that has been widely criticized as detached from reality.

The Ukrainian Parliament's Concerns

Following Tucker Carlson's characterization of Alinsky as a dictator during an interview with Piers Morgan, the Ukrainian Parliament (Rada) issued a statement expressing concern. They view Carlson's comments as potentially signaling the beginning of a campaign by the Trump administration to remove Alinsky from power.

Trump's Potential Strategy

The emerging strategy from the Trump camp seems to involve several key elements:

  1. Push for elections in Ukraine to replace Alinsky
  2. Downplay the importance of Ukraine in public messaging
  3. Approach negotiations with Russia with Ukraine as one of many agenda items
  4. Focus on broader issues such as nuclear arms control and European security architecture

Alinsky's Counterproposal

In response to these developments, Alinsky has suggested that the way forward involves his team first talking to the Trump White House to get on the same page. He then proposes a unified approach where Ukraine, Trump, European leaders, and the EU would collectively approach Putin for negotiations.

However, this proposal seems unlikely to gain traction, given the apparent shift in the Trump administration's stance and the growing international consensus that Alinsky may be more of an obstacle than a facilitator in peace talks.

Broader Implications for US Foreign Policy

The potential shift in Ukraine policy is part of a larger trend in the Trump administration's approach to foreign affairs and international organizations.

USAID Under Scrutiny

Recent reports indicate that Trump is taking steps to significantly reduce the power and autonomy of the United States Agency for International Development (USAID). These actions include:

  • Freezing billions in foreign aid funding
  • Putting senior USAID officials on leave
  • Firing or furloughing hundreds of contractors
  • Failing to name a USAID administrator

These moves suggest a broader strategy to reduce the agency's ability to operate independently and potentially fold it into the State Department.

Treasury Audit

In a controversial move, Elon Musk has been given access to US Treasury accounts to conduct an audit aimed at improving government efficiency. Musk claims to have discovered concerning practices, including instructions for payment approval officers to always approve payments, even to known fraudulent or terrorist groups.

This audit, if it proceeds, could have far-reaching implications for US government spending, including on foreign aid and military operations abroad.

Conclusion

The Trump administration's emerging strategy on Ukraine represents a significant shift from previous US policy. By focusing on elections and potentially facilitating Alinsky's exit, Trump may be attempting to create a new opening for negotiations with Russia.

However, this approach is not without risks. It could be seen as capitulating to Russian demands and abandoning Ukraine's sovereignty. Additionally, the broader changes in US foreign policy and government spending could have long-lasting impacts on America's role on the global stage.

As these developments unfold, it will be crucial to monitor how other international actors respond and whether this new approach can indeed lead to a resolution of the conflict in Ukraine.

Article created from: https://youtu.be/cKWIN97syM4?feature=shared

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